would the allies have won ww2 without america

Some of the add-ons on this site are powered by. 3 US as the major part of landings in Northern Africa, Italy and Europe. 2 US taking on Japan and preventing them from attacking anyone else isan important contribution, but especially in the light of #1, it doesnt seem to be critical. The war would have had a very different outcome, which could have led to a completely different world today. But without the Allies in his back, Hitler would have sent all his Yet, here again is a case of the wrong equipment. Even with everything noted above, Germany and its European partners could have still won the war were it not for Germanys declaration of war on the United States on December 11, 1941. But when we look at the production numbers, we notice that Soviet war production was multiples ahead of German and Japanese war production. It was really the only time Nazi Germany had actually declared war on an enemy, and it needed not to have happened. The United States is a country of machines. Which still means the answer to the OP is yes, the Allies could win. But for the sake of a full spectrum analysis, lets assume that Lend Lease was tied to US joining the war, and if US did not join, there would be no Lend Lease. Germany had the military potential to defeat France and could have likely forced Britain to make peace, but with a Navy less than one-sixth the size of Britains, it had no means of attacking U.S. territory, let alone defeating the U.S. military. I assume that since Overlord hasn't happened that most or at least many of the German troops garrisoning France are available to be redeployed to Munich, Budapest, or anywhere else the Germans care to send them. No one talks about this officially, and Stalin never, I think, left any written traces of his opinion, but I can say that he expressed this view several times in conversations with me.". It was a great symbol of prestige for the resurgent Kriegsmarine, but the money and material could have been utilized in a larger U-Boat force. The US had massively increased production of planes and had developed some of the best single engine fighters of the war. You are using an out of date browser. WebOf course, the easiest way Germany could have won World War II was by avoiding a fight with Britain, France, and the United States of America. Thats assuming they were able to make advances. Defeat never came down to one battle or one campaign. But we must also note that Lend Lease started without US joining the war, on FDRs initiative, andit would be there until the end of the war even if US did not join the war. What would have happened if the Allies lost ww1? If Hitler had accepted Czech President Emil Hachas request to make the Czech Republic a German protectorate without actually occupying it with German forces, then he would not have been in violation of the Munich Pact. A Soviet report by Politburo member Nikolai Voznesensky in 1948 asserted that the United States, described as "the head of the antidemocratic camp and the warrior of imperialist expansion around the world," contributed materiel during the war that amounted to just 4.8 percent of the Soviet Union's own wartime production. While the United States quickly transitioned to a wartime economy that had companies like IBM making rifles instead of typewriters and GM making tanks instead of cars; Germany was producing consumer goods all the way until 1942 when Albert Speer took over as Minister of Armaments. Instead, Hitler strong-armed Hocha to sign a decree authorizing the entry of German troops into his nation effectively ending Czech independence. This particular C-47 was sent to the Far North and spent the war conducting reconnaissance and weather-monitoring missions over the Kara Sea. All rights reserved. Anyways, while I think you might just have a stalemate, especially if the war drags on, in order to win the Allies might have to at least get more US materiel. And the Russian winter. It is hard to overestimate the negative impact Hitlers foolhardy violation of the Munich Pact had upon Chamberlain. Rommel had scarce manpower and supplies at his disposal, yet he made good use of what he had, and Britain succeeded in stopping Germans only with amassing of massive resources and manpower in firstFirst Battle of El Alamein. ", Nikolai Ryzhkov, the last head of the government of the Soviet Union, wrote in 2015 that "it can be confidently stated that [Lend-Lease assistance] did not play a decisive role in the Great Victory.". The German Army was practically at the gates of Moscow in late 1941. Many experts have considered the US impossible to invade because of its major industries, reliable and fast supply lines, large geographical size, geographic location, population size, and difficult regional features. Copyright 2023 Center for the National Interest All Rights Reserved. In all, the United States shipped $50 billion ($608 billion in 2020 money) worth of materiel under the program, including $11.3 billion to the Soviet Union. WebTo give an idea: IIRC, just before Japan's defeat, in one year the United States pumped out as much material as Japan did over the course of the war. And how much steel! In World War II, the Allies outfought the Axis on land, in the air, and at sea. Germany's defeat came about from a number of much larger factors. Nikita Khrushchev offered the same opinion. However, even with lack of US presence in the war, Germany would still need to keep some presence in this Atlantic Wall of theirs. I am not one of those Americans who enthusiastically embrace the "chestnuts out of the fire" myth. Although World War I began in 1914, the United States did not join the war until 1917. He could have requested the return of all of Germanys lost eastern territories from Poland. Scan this QR code to download the app now. His intended purpose of this second conference would have been to redress Germanys remaining legitimate grievances stemming from the unjust Treaty of Versailles and thereby secure a more just and lasting peace to avert the potential outbreak of World War II. Rather, the consequence of lend-lease was to virtually bankrupt this country and lead to the collapse in our manufacturing base, whilst the Marshall Plan created one of the strongest economies in the world - who got the short straw? Thousands of kilometers of advance, for nothing, practically. However when we look at the sizes of the fronts, we see that even at the end of the war by mobilizing even teenagers, Germany would have still been at half strength compared to Soviets even if they moved all their divisions from Western Front to Eastern Front: The count of aircraft, tanks and especially guns follow a similar pattern, and especially in the case of guns or artillery, the disparage is greater. This series of events also would have almost certainly led to a German-Polish alliance against the Soviets that Hitler had long sought for as the Poles would have had no choice but to ally with Nazi Germany if they had any hopes of ever regaining the two-thirds of their territory which had been annexed by the Soviets under the terms of the original Hitler-Stalin Pact. This isnt to say the U.S. won the war on its own. On September 2, 1939, the day after Germany invaded Poland, Hitler offered to withdraw from all of Poland except for the Polish Corridor, which constituted scarcely more than 4 percent of Polish territory, in order to avoid war with Britain and France. Could we really have set up the production of our tanks without American steel? We took up first the question of OVERLORD which we both agreed was the most important problem now before the world and about which we are both anxious owing to the very doubtful attitude of the British Prime Minister. After the war, it was transferred to civilian aviation, carrying passengers over the frozen tundra above the Arctic Circle. Without the machines we received through Lend-Lease, we would have lost the war.". The consideration that the possibility of landings tying German forces before invasion comes to mind. Recall that 75% of the German soldiers killed in WWII were killed by the Britain, regardless of their stubborn perseverance, was undermanned and under supplied compared to Germany, as evidenced by quick reversal of the early victories they won in North Africa against Italy, after Rommel landed. Would an America isolationist enough to deny the UK Lend-Lease have been isolationist enough to grant Hitler the monies that he used to build his Army and Navy. Churchill would have been ousted by a pragmatist, perhaps RAB Butler or Sir John Simon who would have sought peace with Hitler in exchange for some degree of self determination, which would in effect have counted for little. WebGermany and Italy Japans alliesresponded by declaring war against the United States. Here are some actions that Germany might have taken to achieve its territorial objectives without fighting the Western Powers. Individual Americans supported one side or the other, although the majority were sympathetic to the Allies. On the Soviet side, the Western Front still had 328 tanks left in thirteen tank brigades and the 1st Guards Motorized Rifle Division (1GRMD) by the end of October: thirty-three KV-1, 175 T-34, forty-three BT, fifty T-26 and thirty-two T-60. But as most historians are aware, German defeat in the war would have been far from inevitable had Nazi leader Adolf Hitler refrained from making certain critical mistakes. What would have happened if the United States didnt enter WWII? In early 1915, Germany introduced a policy of unrestricted submarine warfare in the Atlantic. Plausibility check: could a better handled Italy have become France's partner in enforcing the Versailles treaty? There would have been effects life in britain and russia would have been less plesent and food less plentiful. WebFor the Allies in World War Two, the defeat of Germany was their priority. I already posted a similar thread about US involvement in WWI. W. Without the need to fight in the Atlantic; to transport large amounts of troops, equipment, and supplies across the entire continent; and the necessity to defend against Allied bombing, Germany could have massively reduced its U-boat, locomotive, and anti-aircraft gun and ammunition production and converted at least part of these capacities into the production of more aircraft and equipment for land warfare. I think one of the key questions is whether the RAF and the British naval forces would have been able to resist for so long the Luftwaffe and the Nazi marine forces without the resources and aid provided by the USA. So we have US as a major factor in Western Front. Normandy and the Bocage around it could be considered bloody battles, with Allies moving inch by inch. On February 24, 1943, a Douglas C-47 Skytrain transport aircraft with serial number 42-32892 rolled out of a factory in Long Beach, California, and was handed over to the U.S. Air Force. Instead of the four Allied powers the United States, Great Britain, France, and the Soviet Union then standing together in a final Allied Victory Parade in a defeated Berlin in September 1944, the Germans could have celebrated the defeat of the British, marching through London and Moscow as they did Paris. However, if Germany had limited itself to liberating the Polish occupied German city of Danzig and invading the Polish Corridor, which represented the full extent of his territorial claims on Poland, and which it captured in the first four days of fighting, then Hitler could have requested an armistice from Polish leaders on September 5. British Matilda tanks are loaded onto a ship for transportation to the U.S.S.R. as part of the Lend-Lease program. Perhaps if it hadn't wasted time in securing Greece after Italy bungled that invasion, Germany could have launched the invasion of the Soviet Union a bit earlier. The war might have ended in 1915 or 1916 with a negotiated peace Sure but this not what the OP specified so the answer remains yes the Allies could win without direct US involvement or even with the pre Lend-Lease levels of support if it happens early in the war. Though after landing and adapting to Western Front warfare after a while US forces were the backbone of the effort in Western Front, by the time they started making advance into Germany the war was more or less considered over by many on both sides. Roosevelt had caved in to Churchills delaying tactics on the invasion before, and now all concerned, from Hopkins to Marshall to Leahy, were worried it might happen again. "It was not just some piece of scrap metal. If Germany developed the right aircraft the war could have turned out differently, but another factor was its industry. The major effects would have been on the US. The first installment of wartime Allied aid that reached the Soviet Union in 1942, although small by later standards, amounted to some 5 per cent of Soviet GNP in that year. Dont Violate the Munich Pact by Occupying the Czech provinces of Bohemia and Moravia. Instead, he is universally despised as the German leader who killed five million Jews in the Holocaust and presided over the destruction of Germany in 1945. Additionally, without bombing, and the need to maintain a large enough army to fight on several fronts, there would have been less need to use forced labor in the factories, thus boosting production. But things suddenly take a weird turn after North Africa: Landings in Western Europe keep getting delayed despite all pressures from Soviets. Not to mention the "scorched earth" strategy which had already taken it's toll on the Germans. By doing so it practically ensured defeat. Photo: Museum of the U.S. Air Force (Courtesy Photo). Germany lost the First World War largely because it couldn't fight a sustained two-front war. Yet, the Germans lacked in numerous other ways. More trucks weren't possible again because the nation wasn't on a war economy. However, it is likely he would have invaded all of those nations at some point during the 1940s regardless of what Hitler did or did not do since his massive expansion of the Red Army was completed by June 1941, by which time the Soviet Union boasted seven times as many tanks and four times as many combat aircraft as Nazi Germany. This gave Poland the footing it needed to refuse all of Hitlers subsequent attempts to negotiate the return of this Polish occupied German city. Most visibly, the United States provided the Soviet Union with more than 400,000 jeeps and trucks, 14,000 aircraft, 8,000 tractors and construction vehicles, and 13,000 battle tanks. If in a worse scenario the Soviets would have lost Leningrad or the Kavkaz oil fields, or maybe even Moscow, they would just move their government, army, factories and supplies to Siberia. Copyright 2023 Center for the National Interest All Rights Reserved. That bogged down the men and material that could have been used in the invasion of the Soviet Union. Would the US have entered WWII on the Nazi front if Germany got the UK to surrender after the blitzkrieg?

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