It would either mean that Jon Oliver was even more right than he thought when he was describing the current sorry state of how especially coroners (the ones without any actual medical training) operate in the United States, or it would mean that some of the Missing 411 profile points actually function as a cause of or significant contributing factor to the sudden adult death syndrome. If you want to get added as an author, contact me via my Twitter handle @Nartimar. Profile points that make people more likely to go missing or to not be found in general (bad weather, dogs and trackers failing to track, etc.) If you enjoyed it, there are several Missing 411 Books too! They were missed by the exhaustive SAR campaign because. In the case Elisa Lams death, around the time of her death, NIH was using a test called LAM-ELISA in the area to deal with a tuberculosis outbreak. A home for weird ideas, future visions, and mad ramblings. The mysterious part is how the bodies got to where they were found. While our current medical science is far from perfect, the real number of truly unknown causes of death appears to be quite low, somewhere in the range of 1.34 per 100,000 (in the U.K.) and 15 per 100,000 (in the U.S.). Which brings me to some practical reasons why you would undress a person that you have kidnapped. If they differ, now, that would be interesting, especially if the difference is major. Thats probably why it correlates so much with cases that remain unexplained. Or it could be a sign of a design artifact, like when many bad guys in our fictional worlds contain Mal in their name, or how many hero names can be abbreviated as JC. Dave also likes to cite one case in which the police officers noticed that the subject who lost his shoes had clean socks, after apparently traveling on his own for several miles through a muddy area. Or any or all of that. Regarding this profile point, I tend to agree with a number of people who say that Dave overestimates the weirdness of people leaving essential items behind, as you can easily do that when you dont think youll be gone long or when you just have a standard brain fart. However, if you are running some sort of medical experiment, the three most logical things to do are to get a DNA sample (ideally reproductive cells), to perform a neurological exam, and to get a stool sample, which includes the gut bacteria. That would be bad enough if done systematically by some sort of human agency, but the inside-out clothing indicates that it really might not involve humans, or at least not exactly us, modern-day humans (insert your favorite sci-fi modifier here). Its important to understand that when youre working against an intelligent adversary, they will try to use your statistical reasoning against you, not doing anything too frequently, so that you brush it all off as a mere coincidence, normal chance. Scott Schumacher Without giving much away, the first messages that you put on the screen I believe are the thread you meant to weave into this movie..so that it could "shake the tree" so to speak. I do agree with Dave that it is safe to assume that places typically get named for a reason, especially if the name sounds ominous, like Devils, Demons, or Hells something or other. This is another strong profile point, given that the most likely explanations are the body being dropped there to be found, or perhaps a temporal displacement. Documentary. David Paulides presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable in the woods of North America. If I sum it all up: This about covers what I would like to say about this subject at this moment in time. This leaves a sudden medical emergency, or an animal or human attack, that either quickly render you unconscious, or force you to be quiet. Thats roughly a bit odd to the fourth power. While static city cameras could be known about and avoided, there dont seem to be any related deaths of potential witnesses, who statistically speaking must keep bumping randomly into these people entering the water. Ive been trying to find the best data that doesnt fit with the dominant paradigm of what is or isnt supposed to be physically possible. This is another strong profile point. For example, in a random sample of a thousand normal missing persons cases, how often do people go missing with a dog, in contrast to how often that happens in a sample of a thousand Missing 411 cases? Overall, the whole dog connection is interesting, but not useful without other evidence. I especially recommend the most recent documentary, Missing 411: The Hunted, as I have never seen such great visualization of movement through an area, plus the cases selected for this documentary are some of the most bizarre and inexplicable there are. Connection: Directed by David Paulides. Support me on Patreon: http://patreon.com/nartimar. All of the profile points should be quantified and the exact numbers published in tables, ideally in comparison with relevant control samples. Maybe more younger and older people get missing more often in general, or specifically, maybe kids always get missing more often when theyre watched by relatives other than their parents. This is a tough one because on one hand, I would like to believe Dave that trackers are by and large good enough to always find things like signs of struggle, but on the other hand, no one is perfect. These could have involved a more invasive examination or procedure focused on the brain, and while they fortunately seem rare, especially to the extreme of cow mutilations, there are such cases. Then it begins to be odd. Hunters have disappeared from wildlands without a trace for hundreds of years. Of course, proving that the times and dates at which people get lost mysteriously are normal times at which theres an opportunity to get lost doesnt prove that the disappearances are entirely mundane. The exotic options would all be variations on the person entering some sort of portal or spacetime warp or legitimately teleporting. Maybe there are more younger and older people visiting the parks in general, maybe its more of a white or specifically German cultural thing in general, maybe people with disabilities, geniuses, or athletes should be over-represented. Maybe names are not random, but to an extent generated with an audience to appreciate them in mind. While sudden arrhythmia can account for some of the Missing 411 cases, there are just too many. There are so many comparisons that need to be made, and for that you need numbers. But I myself am very interested in what could be called the science of coincidence, so lets talk about what coincidences may mean for a bit. If you could use portals to get in and out of them, that would help a lot, but all the technology you need is a camouflaged door. Obviously, bad weather happening while a person is lost should also mean higher chance of them dying of exposure, but also limit the distance that the lost person can travel. In any event, I believe that Dave is correctly focusing on the cases where the most inexplicable travel speeds or distances took place. Anything that makes you more visible from a longer distance by default makes you an easier target for any kind of predator, animal, human, or otherwise. Yes, I have also watched Good Omens recently. Watch on. For the first three-fourths or so of the documentary, we're under the impression that they seem to be easy targets for killers or maybe incredibly accident prone. Much like it is with the other inexplicable details of the typical state in which the bodies in these cases keep being found, no identifiable cause of death theoretically is a solid profile point a positive evidence of something unusual going on. Especially if youre an expert with answers. If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. should always be prioritized over cases included on the basis of absence of evidence. Yosemite happens to have the highest total of Missing 411 cases of any National Park. Missing 411: The Hunted, movie reviews . I certainly intend to investigate this phenomenon further, as well as a range of other things that I may write about in the future. Paulides shares several perplexing mysteries and investigations. Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. When you have such data, a lot of it, about a state of an object, and it doesnt make any sense how it got there from its last known state, what youve got is a proper anomaly. Beyond a mere lack of explanation, Paulides has put together a profile which includes a specific list of factors, most of which tend to be present in all of these cases. My critical point of view is that this is a nice sentiment, and youd want to have searchers with this attitude looking for you, but there is a number of conceivable conventional scenarios in which it would be very possible that the person would be exceedingly difficult to find or unlikely to be found. If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. This is also one of the profile points that may simply cause people not to be found, at all or in time to save the person, reversing the causality. Also, in case you make a mistake and blow your cover, humans will be far less likely to torch a natural treasure to get you. !- https://www.canammissing.com/missing-. How do you manipulate lividity of a corpse, like achieving none? All of which are attributes that should be connected with strange disappearances, if you think about it. What I would say does seem obviously wrong are for example the cases of water-related disappearances and deaths in urban areas, where the young white male students figure in almost all of them. This is a suspiciously good record. Or its supposed to be, anyway. At most, they managed to say that someone is following them, but not exactly who or where they are, or if they described a specific location, they were already gone within moments (if the location they gave was accurate in the first place). However, statistically speaking, the remaining cases of storms which didnt ultimately cause the search to fail or during which the missing person ended up doing impossible things will still only be interesting as profile points if they keep being too frequent in comparison to how often storms follow non-mysterious cases of people going missing, or if they at least are individually unexpected instances of bad weather. Watchlist. Neurology-based research and technology would also help explain why the causes of death are so difficult to identify in many of these cases. In the Dennis Martin case, the Martin family went on a hike into a forest, and in the forest, they met another Martin family. This is perhaps the main area in which I would like Dave to release tables with exact percentages of just how common various traits among the missing people are, as the first step that needs to be taken in any serious study is to compare the composition of Daves sample with the standard distributions of variables in the normal demographics of the involved states or countries. There are cases where a wolf man-type being was described as the one who kidnapped the target, they could be easily able to control dogs and likely to respect them more than humans, and if the shapeshifting into dogs is on the table, they could get around any human settlements, including urban areas, undetected. If anyone whos unable to travel many miles is found many miles away, especially if it is in a very short amount of time, its extremely suspicious. Watch Missing 411 here free: https://geni.us/Missing_411Based on the books series written by David Paulides Missing 411 chronicles the unsolved yet eerily s. The science is almost there. Hes not putting forward his theories in the books, only data. Its unlikely that all such witnesses could be successfully bribed or threatened with all of the impromptu recordings being destroyed. And it is what profiling is, in a way youre looking for cases that include selected elements. Dave assembled the profile by reviewing details of all unexplained disappearances he could find that took place in the U.S. national parks and by noting what they had in common. Its quite possible that the population of people who visit national parks differs significantly from the whole population of the given states or countries under normal circumstances. However, the understanding that there is such a connection between naming conventions and occurrence of a particular type of disappearance could be used as a lead to determine which places to investigate, either with priority, more thoroughly, or further back into the past.
missing 411: the hunted cases
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